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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 98% (12029–294, n=12323) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $639K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #280 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 11549 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 18% of 235) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 2% (won 48% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 2% (won 56% of 177) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 95% (won 99% of 10914) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Ravens $4 | — |