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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1S-Workssuitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$14.9M$3.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #60PM monthly #806
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)66% (31 of 47 open)50% (4 of 8 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1S-Workssuitcase6628
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Pelicans $52KClippers $50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $386KBilibili Gaming $6.7K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $58K—Coco Gauff $463
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Over $64