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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)56% (27284–21366, n=48650)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$14.8M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus57% (13 of 23 open)56% (76 of 136 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10417, ROI +4%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10417 at avg 85¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)74% (won 100% of 7741)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1THG.
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30KPelicans $125—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $135—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323Pelicans $143—