Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)56% (27419–21434, n=48853)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$7.9M$14.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #129PM monthly #3PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus50% (8 of 16 open)85% (23 of 27 open)61% (39 of 64 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10548, ROI +4%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10548 at avg 86¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)25% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)75% (won 100% of 7872)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1THG.
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $555—Florida Atlantic $20K—
Predators vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $17K—Predators $118—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $12K—Southern Miss $832—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $5—Florida Atlantic $1.1K—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3—Under $338—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $58K—Over $6.4K—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.4K—Harold Mayot $3.7K—
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
UTSA $2—UTSA $4.3K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $4—Southern Miss $240—