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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 54% (4633–3872, n=8505) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M | $154K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #166 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (73 of 113 open) | 60% (33 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (53 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | — | — | No $963 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | — | No $21 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $3.2K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $265K | — | — | No $2.0K |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | — | No $232 |