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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $97K | $1.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 66% (112 of 170 open) | 72% (88 of 122 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $73K | Yes $8.0K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | Yes $11 | — | — |