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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $101K | -$9.5M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #975 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 63% (108 of 171 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | No $357 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $69K | Yes $8.2K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | Yes $13 | — | — |