Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)57% (1079–801, n=1880)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$86K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #724PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)0% (0 of 2 open)68% (182 of 269 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218K—Pacers $6.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357—Pacers $1.5K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $10Under $323