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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | l..messi | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 56% (1153–905, n=2058) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $75K | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (104 of 162 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 1599 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 12% of 457) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 10% (won 39% of 167) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 75% of 234) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 741) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | l..messi | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12K | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | — | Tom Gentzsch $3.2K | Max Houkes $947 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $169 | Cavaliers $708 |
| Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp | — | — | Luka Mikrut $621 | Sandro Kopp $6 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $183 | Lakers $210 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.4K |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $15K | — | Bills $77 | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | — | Filip Misolic $1.5K | Filip Misolic $254 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | — | — | Max Dahlin $338 | Max Dahlin $495 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $166 | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $197 | Lakers $248 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $155 | Lakers $282 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Cavaliers $170 | Cavaliers $111 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Raptors $162 | Raptors $116 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |