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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankcm2897primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)51% (1419–1353, n=2772)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$69K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #349PM monthly #48PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)50% (11 of 22 open)53% (8 of 15 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 2045 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)24% (won 7% of 481)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)26% (won 41% of 531)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)27% (won 61% of 562)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)23% (won 90% of 471)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankcm2897primmUpTheBlues
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837Jaguars $46Ravens $4—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $1.6K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.2KUnder $16——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $28Under $1.8K—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293Jaguars $384——
Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $6Jaguars $41——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92KRavens $5——
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K—Ravens $510—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $65—