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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 76% (11058–3420, n=14478) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $925K | $4.2M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (28 of 42 open) | 65% (228 of 351 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | No $6 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | No $1.2K | — | — |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? same side · consensus No | — | No $597 | No $85K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $31K | No $4.3K | — | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.7K | No $3.0K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | No $878 | — | — |