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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankefntrickferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)48% (308–329, n=637)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$12K-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #854was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)60% (3 of 5 open)67% (8 of 12 open)55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 208 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)1% (won 50% of 2)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)8% (won 100% of 17)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)22% (won 100% of 45)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)69% (won 100% of 144)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankefntrickferrariChampions2026RN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
——Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.8K
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Grenier
—Martin Krumich $57—Hugo Grenier $1.2K
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
opposite sides · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
—Georgii Kravchenko $34—Johannus Monday $22
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $130Cosme Rolland De Ravel $26K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $60Ugo Humbert $7.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360