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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 37% (671–1166, n=1837) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $50K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 54% (87 of 161 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=318 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 22% of 1548 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 71% (won 5% of 1092) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 12% (won 41% of 181) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 9% (won 63% of 132) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 9% (won 91% of 143) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $1.2K | — | — |