Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjodar
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)60% (31–21, n=52)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M$41K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #593
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)56% (5 of 9 open)65% (106 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%96% of 25 at avg 58¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)44% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)24% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)32% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjodar
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $146Yes $2.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169—
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15K—Bills $77—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.8KOver $88—