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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 43% (9584–12451, n=22035) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $1.9M | $63K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #456 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 72% (88 of 123 open) | 88% (49 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Weather −8 pts, n=6913 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 20% of 12199 at avg 26¢, ROI −5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 78% (won 0% of 9475) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 1% (won 42% of 133) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 2% (won 51% of 242) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 19% (won 97% of 2349) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler | — | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12 | Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu | — | Yu-Hsiou Hsu $299 | Keegan Smith $185 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $1.3K | Liam Broady $596 | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $38 | Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K | — |