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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)31% (564–1266, n=1830)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$105K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #972PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)48% (won 19% of 433)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)12% (won 51% of 110)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)13% (won 76% of 119)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)26% (won 94% of 234)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllRN1
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $234—Edward Winter $5.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $36K—Janice Tjen $60K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
—Liam Broady $1.4K—Liam Broady $627
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360