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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)61% (1498–951, n=2449)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$834K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #88PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus position65% (77 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +22 pts n=1348, ROI +6%
  • NBA +12 pts n=537, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———NFL −24 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%92% of 1889 at avg 73¢, ROI +6%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)4% (won 73% of 84)30% (won 9% of 919)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 84% of 306)15% (won 37% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)25% (won 88% of 470)14% (won 63% of 439)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)54% (won 98% of 1029)42% (won 94% of 1302)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorp
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
—Ugo Blanchet $3.7K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Yannick Hanfmann $207—Alex Michelsen $4.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141—Yes $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $13K
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Edas Butvilas
—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $129—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $269