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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | forgotmydinner | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 32% (64–134, n=198) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $104K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #59 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 73% (41 of 56 open) | 61% (127 of 207 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA ±0 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 20% of 174 at avg 15¢, ROI +19% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 83% (won 7% of 145) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 9% (won 100% of 15) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | forgotmydinner | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $8 | — | — |
| Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $374 | Yes $2 | — | — |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $364 | Yes $2 | — | — |