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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | forgotmydinner | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 28% (63–162, n=225) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $102K | $5.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #62 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 66% (76 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA ±0 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 20% of 173 at avg 14¢, ROI +19% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 85% (won 7% of 147) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 4% (won 71% of 7) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 9% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.