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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | gesst | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 58% (217–159, n=376) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14256–15876, n=30132) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $43K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #286 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (75 of 109 open) | 84% (26 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (33 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −9 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 42% of 341 at avg 42¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 52% (won 7% of 177) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 9% (won 37% of 30) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 6% (won 64% of 22) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 33% (won 95% of 112) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | gesst | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $130K | Yes $47 | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $31K | No $89 | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $101 | — | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $182 | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $125 | No $161 | — | — |