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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankhewhodoesitrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (2–0, n=2)63% (12–7, n=19)41% (12–17, n=29)
Consensus PnL$779K-$30K$251K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #922PM monthly #20 + pinnedPM monthly #36
Sides with the consensus50% (7 of 14 open)43% (3 of 7 open)64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)—11% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 3)65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)—44% (won 100% of 4)29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)—11% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankhewhodoesitrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $131K76ers $16KCeltics $217K—
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $3.1KSuns $92K—
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $10KJazz $60K—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $35K—Suns $6.9K—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Heat $5.0KJazz $12K—
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $6.9KKnicks $98K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $200—Celtics $57K—