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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | westing.v1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) | 47% (48–54, n=102) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | $14.9M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | was PM monthly #985 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (35 of 61 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 48 at avg 54¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 44% (won 100% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 33% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 21% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | westing.v1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $8.5K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | Packers $489 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | — | Seahawks $3.9K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | Packers $4.0K | — |