← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | justbusiness1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 53% (266–233, n=499) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | -$143K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #760 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (40 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −8 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 88% of 354 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 21% of 14) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 31% (won 87% of 108) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 57% (won 92% of 203) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 8% (won 93% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | justbusiness1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $294K | — | — | Texans $1.4K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | — | — | Cardinals $5.7K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | — | — | Texans $3 |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $15K | — | — | Under $46 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $70K |