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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 43% (440–585, n=1025) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $1.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (45 of 79 open) | 56% (31 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lava-lava | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | — | Yes $9.6K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $50 | — | Yes $354 | — |