← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 43% (129–174, n=303) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $152K | $115K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #151 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (59 of 112 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $27K | — | Suns $24K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $20K | — | 76ers $17 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $184 | — | Celtics $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus 76ers | Celtics $595 | — | Celtics $731 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $361 | — | Celtics $606 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $10 | — | Celtics $216 | — |