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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 36% (5228–9136, n=14364) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20646–20453, n=41099) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$140K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #302 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 79% (84 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1555 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 37% of 5848 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 59% (won 1% of 3428) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 2% (won 42% of 132) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 4% (won 55% of 222) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 35% (won 96% of 2066) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $130 | — | — |