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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1S-WorksTeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)51% (70–66, n=136)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.6M$3.8M$586K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #113PM monthly #55PM monthly #340
Sides with the consensus85% (29 of 34 open)73% (73 of 100 open)88% (7 of 8 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)19% (won 32% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)38% (won 50% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)36% (won 66% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)8% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1S-WorksTeGeeLP
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $744KT1 $1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $133KT1 $8.9K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
——T1 $863KT1 $91K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421KNo $346K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $12K——