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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1qidao001RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1096–631, n=1727)89% (1382–171, n=1553)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.6M$10K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #108PM monthly #966PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)74% (74 of 100 open)73% (11 of 15 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)13% (won 5% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)38% (won 49% of 57)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 67% of 73)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1qidao001RN1
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96—Buccaneers $8Bears $10K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Buccaneers $25—
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $4Bears $5.4K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $38—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421KNo $346K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $12K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $10Bears $20K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $46Buccaneers $16K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $18Buccaneers $9.2K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $4Buccaneers $3.5K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $25Buccaneers $2.6K
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2Buccaneers $712
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $24Over $652
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $7Bears $378