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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qinlaoban | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (539–574, n=1113) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.6M | -$75K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #718 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 57% (35 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 48% (won 99% of 238) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 52% (won 99% of 262) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | qinlaoban | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6.8K | Over $47 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Nets $41 | Mavericks $763 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | No $346K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $12K | — | — | Bears $27K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $3.9K | Mavericks $1.7K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $3.6K | Mavericks $1.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | — | Bears $877 |