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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 34% (143–279, n=422) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.6M | $14.9M | -$339K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #44 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $12K | Bears $5.8K | Bears $27K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Over $16K | — | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | Bears $8.0K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $28 | Buccaneers $2.7K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $9.8K | Over $722 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | Bears $877 | — |