← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2614–70, n=2684) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$132K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −1 pts, n=909 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2648 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 17% of 23) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 72% of 29) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 63% of 32) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2564) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BunCaCham | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $918 | — | Yes $64K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $920 | — | Yes $32K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.2K | — | Yes $13K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7.2K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $553 | — | Yes $5.0K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $274 | — | Yes $3.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11 | — | No $166K | — |