← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2614–70, n=2684) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | -$132K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −1 pts, n=909 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2648 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 17% of 23) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 72% of 29) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 63% of 32) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2564) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BunCaCham | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $918 | — | — | Yes $64K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $920 | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7.2K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $553 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $274 | — | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11 | — | — | No $166K |