Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Burkilota1ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (691–428, n=1119)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$145K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #260PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus22% (10 of 45 open)72% (71 of 98 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +9 pts n=133, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=23, ROI +1%
  • NBA +9 pts n=27, ROI +10%
Weakest topicCrypto −1 pts, n=181NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won20% of 558 at avg 16¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢88% (won 15% of 493)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 63% of 64)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 0% of 1)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBurkilota1ndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $42No $335K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $52Yes $10K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $88Yes $548—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $89No $5—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15Yes $2—