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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)59% (786–547, n=1333)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$147K$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #465PM monthly #108PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)46% (12 of 26 open)74% (74 of 100 open)62% (34 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=153, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=24, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=189NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 610 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)11% (won 61% of 67)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)0% (won 50% of 2)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1ndb1RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $421KYes $30No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $306KNo $40Yes $12K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50Yes $64K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $61Yes $571—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $95No $6—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16Yes $2—