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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1510–446, n=1956) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $14.8M | $11.0M | $194K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 55% (27 of 49 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie | Matteo Arnaldi $1.8K | Cameron Norrie $6.8K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniel Merida Aguilar $6.9K | Sebastian Baez $77 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata opposite sides · consensus Ryo Tabata | Santiago De la Fuente $542 | Ryo Tabata $4.4K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud $7.9K | Casper Ruud $34K | — | — |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $61 | Yes $36 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Vadym Ursu $43 | Vadym Ursu $10 | — | — |