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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CannaeCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (5944–5595, n=11539)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (25 of 43 open)0% (0 of 4 open)59% (91 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +50 pts n=62, ROI +53%
  • NBA +44 pts n=316, ROI +40%
  • NHL +43 pts n=101, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 99% of 778)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 1843)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 2554)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 3497)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCannaeCORGIIRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $527—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $274—Over $2.4K
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $346—Yes $102
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $13K—No $26K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $6.7K
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $127—No $4.1K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $516
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $143—Toulouse FC $1.8K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $36—No $18