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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (414–337, n=751) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (44 of 68 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=50 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 614 at avg 53¢, ROI +9% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 10% of 212) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 64% of 64) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 79% of 66) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 98% of 272) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contentious-Dinnerdate | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $14 | — | Steelers $963 |