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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Crock95 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (186–131, n=317) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $227K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #931 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=108 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 401 at avg 40¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 9% of 205) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 57% of 42) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 54% of 41) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 113) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Crock95 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71 | — | No $34K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $883 | — | Yes $17K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $280 | — | Yes $6.3K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $678 | — | Over $527 |