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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)32% (401–857, n=1258)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$136K$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #378PM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus76% (25 of 33 open)68% (126 of 185 open)69% (59 of 86 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 18% of 136)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 76% of 34)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 90% of 87)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 321)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelFlaznorpndb1primm
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $351—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $51—Florida Atlantic $7.3K
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192—No $173—