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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)30% (429–994, n=1423)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$136K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #375PM monthly #98PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (25 of 33 open)72% (63 of 87 open)83% (5 of 6 open)58% (65 of 112 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=19NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 18% of 143)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 77% of 35)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 94)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 352)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelndb1primmRN1
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $277——
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4Yes $16——
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34K—Under $5.2K
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192No $173——