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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dimpled-Foal | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (209–212, n=421) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (49 of 84 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 181 at avg 66¢, ROI +39% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 25) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 97% of 38) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 100% of 96) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dimpled-Foal | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $342 | No $32K | — | — |