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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DolphinBaller | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (99–92, n=191) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #762 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 93 at avg 46¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 100% of 12) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 43) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 35) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DolphinBaller | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $1.4K | Commanders $1.1M | — | Eagles $2.7K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $1.8K | Commanders $188K | — | — |