← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dreamwire | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2741–448, n=3189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=76 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 2562 at avg 81¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 326) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 45% of 136) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 66% of 160) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 1940) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dreamwire | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | — | — | No $407K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $532 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $92 | — | — | Yes $280K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | — | Yes $13K |