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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSimp | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (94–194, n=288) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 80% (12 of 15 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 252 at avg 79¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 19% of 31) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 89% of 9) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 93% of 15) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 100% of 197) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSimp | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $65 | Commanders $82K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $195 | — | Over $545 |