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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (102–60, n=162)66% (901–474, n=1375)50% (15364–15431, n=30795)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL-$20K$4.5M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #891PM monthly #100PM monthly #58PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (109 of 151 open)56% (66 of 118 open)52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 86% of 7)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 92% of 25)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 96% of 46)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
——Tommy Paul $23Quentin Halys $1.3K
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
——Sho Shimabukuro $16Harold Mayot $123
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $19K—Bilibili Gaming $7—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $3—