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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Excession6sainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)90% (208–22, n=230)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$77K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #932was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 201 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 4)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 99% of 79)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 98% of 104)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 14)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketExcession6sainttroplayRN1primm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.1KEagles $858
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $664Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $1.5KEagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $23Eagles $412