Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlamePyroFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)62% (409–254, n=663)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$4.1M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #625PM monthly #10PM monthly #91PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)62% (103 of 165 open)72% (107 of 149 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −19 pts, n=20Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 74)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 37% of 103)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 65% of 149)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 86% of 217)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlamePyroFlaznorpndb1primm
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
UTEP $2.7KHawai'i $470—Hawai'i $6.3K
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $35KWest Virginia $108——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $985No $18K—