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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FlamePyro | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 72% (107 of 149 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 61% (37 of 61 open) |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FlamePyro | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | Notre Dame $47K | — | Notre Dame $169K | Notre Dame $42K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $210 | Miami (FL) $7.9K |
| Oklahoma vs. Florida opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | — | Oklahoma $1.4K | Florida $2.4K |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan same side · consensus Michigan State | Michigan State $1.7K | — | — | Michigan State $21K |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Michigan State $15K | Michigan State $5 |
| Air Force vs. Army same side · consensus Army | Air Force $1.8K | — | — | Air Force $12K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $52 | Notre Dame $3.4K |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 |