← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 34% (143–279, n=422) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $3.3M | $3.8M | -$339K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #48 | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (100 of 138 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | S-Works | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | Bilibili Gaming $386K | T1 $42K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K | T1 $35 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $154K | T1 $43K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.6K | — | Over $44K | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers same side · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $3.8K | — | Pelicans $52K | — |