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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmtugator
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)13% (33–224, n=257)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M$85K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #49PM monthly #656
Sides with the consensus74% (162 of 218 open)no open consensus position54% (21 of 39 open)88% (83 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −34 pts, n=189
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%28% of 228 at avg 56¢, ROI −27%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)73% (won 10% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)18% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmtugator
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Colts $5.7K—
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $320—Commanders $285—